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Tropical Weather Outlook Text


Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon May 20 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Satellite-derived wind data indicate that a trough of low pressure
has developed within a large area of cloudiness and disorganized
showers several hundred miles to the southwest of Bermuda. A low
pressure system is expected to form within this area of disturbed
weather later today, and possibly develop into a short-lived
subtropical or tropical cyclone by tonight or Tuesday while moving
northward or northeastward. By Wednesday, however, conditions are
forecast to become unfavorable for further development, and the
system should become rapidly absorbed by a cold front. An Air Force
Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
disturbance this afternoon, if necessary.  Interests in Bermuda
should monitor the progress of this system.  The next Special
Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued by 8 AM EDT today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Stewart

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