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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

800 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Gonzalo, located northeast of Puerto Rico.

1. A broad area of low pressure located about 1200 miles east of the
Lesser Antilles continues to produce a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms.  Although this system has become a
little better organized overall during the past few hours,
any further development of this system is expected to be slow to
occur due to strong upper-level winds.  The low is forecast to move
northwestward and then northward over the central tropical Atlantic
during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Blake

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