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Post-Tropical Cyclone Melissa Forecast Discussion


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701 
WTNT44 KNHC 141438
TCDAT4

Post-Tropical Cyclone Melissa Discussion Number  13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL142019
1100 AM AST Mon Oct 14 2019

Melissa has transitioned to an extratropical cyclone. Shallow
convection has become displaced greater than 100 n mi from the
center, and Melissa's circulation has become embedded within a
frontal zone.  The inner-core now consists of a swirl of low clouds
with a large amount of cool post-frontal stratocumulus wrapping into
the northern and western portions of the circulation. A recent ship
report just southwest of the center indicated gale-force winds
are still occuring in association with Melissa, and 35 kt will be
this advisory's initial intensity. The extratropical cyclone is
expected to gradually weaken over the next day or so, and dissipate
before it reaches the Azores.

Melissa is now moving at 080/20 kt and is embedded within
mid-latitude westerlies.  This general motion is expected to
continue until the cyclone dissipates.

This is the last advisory on Melissa from the National Hurricane
Center.  Additional information on this system can be found in High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service...under AWIPS
header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  14/1500Z 41.0N  51.4W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 12H  15/0000Z 41.4N  46.6W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 24H  15/1200Z 41.4N  39.3W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36H  16/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Latto