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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Mon Nov 7 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical 
Storm Nicole, located over the southwestern Atlantic. 

1. Central Subtropical Atlantic:
A well-defined area of low pressure located about 650 miles east of 
Bermuda continues to produce gale-force winds, but the associated 
shower and thunderstorm activity remains displaced to the east of 
the low's center due to strong upper-level winds. These conditions 
are expected to remain unfavorable for development through tonight, 
but upper-level winds could briefly become more favorable on 
Tuesday, and a short-lived tropical storm could still form as the 
system begins to move northward and then northeastward at about 10 
mph. The low is then forecast to merge with a cold front by the 
middle part of this week, ending the chances of tropical 
development. Additional information on this system, including gale 
warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National 
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Public Advisories on Subtropical Storm Nicole are issued under WMO 
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. 
Forecast/Advisories on Subtropical Storm Nicole are issued under WMO 
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Cangialosi/Papin