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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Oct 24 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Northwestern Atlantic:
Showers and thunderstorms have recently decreased in coverage and 
intensity near a well-defined low pressure area located about 60 
miles south-southeast of Bermuda. However, earlier satellite wind 
data indicated the low was producing winds of 30-35 mph confined 
closely to its center. If the associated shower and thunderstorm 
activity redevelops near the center, the system is likely to become 
a tropical depression tonight or tomorrow morning. After that time, 
the system is expected to turn northward and move towards cooler 
waters and a region of unfavorable upper-level winds, which should 
limit additional development. Regardless of development, periods of 
locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected over Bermuda 
through tonight.  Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress 
of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

2. Southwestern Atlantic:
An area of low pressure is expected to form north of Puerto 
Rico over the southwestern Atlantic in a few days.  Thereafter,  
environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual subtropical 
development of this system while it meanders over the southwestern 
Atlantic through the early part of the weekend. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Papin