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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Oct 13 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Karl, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located 
several hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands is associated 
with a tropical wave.  Environmental conditions appear marginally 
conducive for some slow development during the next few days while 
the system moves westward and then west-northwestward at about 10 
mph.  However, the disturbance is expected to move into a less 
favorable area of stronger upper-level winds on Sunday or Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. 

Forecaster Berg