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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Oct 10 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwest Gulf of Mexico:
A trough of low pressure over the Yucatan Peninsula is producing 
disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms.  Some development of 
this system is possible on Tuesday and Wednesday when the system 
moves slowly west-northwestard to northwestward over the far 
southwestern Gulf of Mexico.  Increasing upper-level winds should 
prevent significant development late this week.  Regardless of 
development, heavy rain is expected over portions of southern 
Mexico, Belize, and Guatemala during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Blake