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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Sep 28 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of the Southern Coast of Mexico: 
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure area south 
of the southern coast of Mexico are showing signs of organization. 
Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a 
tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days 
while the system moves westward to west-northwestward off the coast 
of southern and southwestern Mexico. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. Western East Pacific:
The remnants of Newton are located about 1,000 miles southwest of 
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula and are currently 
producing disorganized shower activity.  Some slight development of 
the system is possible, and it could briefly become a tropical 
depression again while it moves generally westward over the western 
portion of the eastern North Pacific. Environmental conditions are 
expected to become less conducive for additional development by the 
end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Beven