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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Sep 26 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Ian, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.

1. Central Tropical Atlantic:
Shower and thunderstorm activity has changed little in organization 
today associated with an area of low pressure located several 
hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Despite the proximity 
of nearby dry air, upper-level winds appear generally conducive 
for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to 
form during the next couple of days as the system meanders over the 
central tropical Atlantic. By the end of this week, upper-level 
winds are forecast to become less favorable for development as the 
system begins to move slowly north-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Papin