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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Sep 19 2022
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Madeline, located a couple of hundred miles south-southeast
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.
1. South of Central America and Southeastern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure located south of the southern coast of
Central America is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual
development while the system moves slowly northwestward near or
offshore of the coasts of southern Mexico and Guatemala through the
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
2. South of Southern Mexico:
Another area of low pressure could form south of the southern
or southwestern coast of Mexico in a few days. Some gradual
development is possible thereafter while the disturbance moves
generally west-northwestward off the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Roberts