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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Sep 13 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Central Tropical Atlantic:
Conventional and Low-earth orbit satellite data indicate that 
showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located 
about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Windward 
Islands have increased and become better organized since yesterday 
afternoon.  Further development of this system is possible and a 
tropical depression could form over the next several days while it 
generally moves westward to west-northwestward over the central 
tropical Atlantic and approaches the Leeward Islands on Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Showers and thunderstorms have changed little overnight in 
association with a tropical wave approaching the Cabo Verde Islands. 
Environmental conditions appear only marginally favorable, and any 
development of this system should be slow to occur while it moves 
westward or west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic 
through the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Roberts