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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Sep 12 2022
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Southwest of southwestern Mexico:
Shower activity associated with a small area of low pressure located
a few hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico has diminished
somewhat tonight. Environmental conditions are only marginally
conducive for additional development during the next day or so as
the system moves little before it is forecast to merge with the
disturbance to its east by midweek.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
2. Near the coast of southern Mexico:
A trough of low pressure located along the coast of southern Mexico
continues to produce general disorganized shower activity. This
system is forecast to interact and merge with the disturbance off
the southwestern coast of Mexico around midweek, and environmental
conditions are expected to become more conducive for development by
that time. A tropical depression is likely to form during the
latter part of this week while the system moves slowly westward near
the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
Forecaster Papin