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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
200 PM EDT Tue Sep 6 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Danielle, located about 800 miles west-northwest of the Azores,
and on Tropical Storm Earl, located less than 600 miles south of
Bermuda.

1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue near the Cabo Verde
Islands extending southwestward several hundred miles in association
with a broad area of low pressure.  Environmental conditions are
conducive for some development of this system, and a tropical
depression could form in a few days while moving westward to
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become less
conducive for development late this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

2. African Coast:
A tropical wave currently located over western Africa is forecast to
emerge offshore into the eastern Atlantic in a day or two.
Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for some slow
development thereafter as the system moves west-northwestward over
the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Papin/Carbin




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