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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Aug 27 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Central Tropical Atlantic:
An elongated area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave 
over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean is producing some 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are 
forecast to be generally favorable for some gradual development of 
this system over the next several days, and a tropical depression 
could form by the middle of next week as it moves west-northwestward 
at 10 to 15 mph toward the waters east of the Leeward Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

2. Northwestern Caribbean Sea:
A trough of low pressure could develop over the northwestern 
Caribbean Sea during the early or middle part of next week. 
Environmental conditions could support some slow development of the 
system thereafter while it moves generally west-northwestward over 
the northwestern Caribbean Sea and toward the Yucatan Peninsula of 
Mexico. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

3. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa 
early next week. Some gradual development of the system is possible 
during the middle of next week while it moves generally westward 
across the far eastern tropical Atlantic. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Reinhart