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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Aug 21 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Central East Pacific:
Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization in 
association with an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles 
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California 
peninsula. Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for 
additional development and a tropical depression could from over the 
next couple of days as the system moves west-northwestward or 
northwestward, well offshore of the coast of Mexico. By midweek, 
less favorable environmental conditions should limit further 
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

2. Western East Pacific:
Showers and thunderstorms have mostly dissipated in association with 
the remnants of Ivette located more than 1000 miles west-southwest 
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental 
conditions are expected to remain unfavorable for further 
development as this system moves over cooler waters and into a more 
stable atmospheric environment.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

Forecaster Papin