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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Aug 19 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Satellite imagery indicates that showers and thunderstorms 
associated with the broad low pressure area over the southwestern 
Gulf of Mexico and the Bay of Campeche continue to become better 
organized.  Environmental conditions appear favorable for 
additional development, and a tropical depression could form later 
today, tonight, or on Saturday while the system moves northwestward 
across the southwestern and western Gulf of Mexico.  However, by 
Saturday night, the system is expected to move inland over 
northeastern Mexico, which will end its chances of development. An 
Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently enroute to 
investigate the system.  Interests along the northeastern coast of 
Mexico and the lower Texas coast should monitor the progress of 
this system.  Regardless of development, this system could bring 
locally heavy rains to portions of northeastern Mexico and southern 
Texas over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Beven

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