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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Jun 3 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Near the Yucatan Peninsula and the Southeastern Gulf of Mexico: 
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential 
Tropical Cyclone One, located over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. 
The disturbance is expected to become a tropical storm later today 
or tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

1. In the Western Atlantic west-southwest of Bermuda:
Shower and thunderstorm activity has changed little in organization 
associated with the small but well-defined area of low pressure 
about 200 miles west-southwest of Bermuda. This system has a brief 
window for further development today before strong upper-level winds 
result in increasingly unfavorable conditions by the weekend. This 
system is expected to move generally eastward passing southward of 
Bermuda this weekend.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone One are issued 
under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1. 
Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone One are issued 
under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

Forecaster Papin/Bucci