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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon May 30 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Near the Yucatan Peninsula:
A large and complex area of low pressure is expected to develop near 
the Yucatan Peninsula and the northwestern Caribbean Sea in a couple 
of days, partially related to the remnants of Hurricane Agatha from 
the eastern Pacific. Thereafter, this system is forecast to move 
slowly northeastward, and a tropical depression could form in the 
northwestern Caribbean or southeastern Gulf of Mexico by the latter 
part of this week.  Regardless of development, locally heavy 
rainfall is likely across portions of southern Mexico, the Yucatan 
Peninsula, Guatemala, Belize, and western Cuba through the week. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Papin