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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Oct 20 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A broad area of disturbed weather is producing some disorganized 
showers and a few thunderstorms within a couple of hundred miles of 
the coasts of southern Mexico and Guatemala.  Environmental 
conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of 
this system during the next few days, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form by this weekend while the system moves slowly 
west-northwestward to northwestward near or just offshore the coast 
of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Reinhart