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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 13 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over 
Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos, the southeastern Bahamas, and 
adjacent Atlantic waters continue in association with a surface 
trough of low pressure.  Development, if any, of this disturbance 
should be slow to occur during the next couple of days due to 
unfavorable upper-level winds.  The system is forecast to drift 
northward through tonight, then accelerate eastward as a broad area 
of low pressure on Thursday.  Toward the end of the week, further 
development is not anticipated since the disturbance will be 
interacting with a frontal system.   Regardless, locally heavy 
rainfall is possible over portions of Hispaniola, the Turks and 
Caicos, and the southeastern Bahamas during the next day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster Stewart