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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 13 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over
Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos, the southeastern Bahamas, and
adjacent Atlantic waters continue in association with a surface
trough of low pressure. Development, if any, of this disturbance
should be slow to occur during the next couple of days due to
unfavorable upper-level winds. The system is forecast to drift
northward through tonight, then accelerate eastward as a broad area
of low pressure on Thursday. Toward the end of the week, further
development is not anticipated since the disturbance will be
interacting with a frontal system. Regardless, locally heavy
rainfall is possible over portions of Hispaniola, the Turks and
Caicos, and the southeastern Bahamas during the next day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.