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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Oct 12 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A tropical wave located near the Windward Islands has continued to 
become less organized this morning and development of the system is 
not expected. Locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds will be 
possible across portions of the central and northern Lesser 
Antilles today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

2. The northern portion of a tropical wave is producing a large area 
of disorganized showers and thunderstorms across Hispaniola, the 
Turks and Caicos, and the southeastern Bahamas. Development of this 
system, if any, will be slow to occur during the next couple of days 
due to unfavorable environmental conditions. The system is expected 
to interact with a front by the end of the week and further 
development is unlikely after that time. Regardless of development, 
locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of Hispaniola, the 
Turks and Caicos, and the southeastern Bahamas during the next day 
or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster D. Zelinsky