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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Oct 8 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Recent satellite images indicate that a broad area of low pressure 
has formed a few hundred miles south-southeast of Tehuantepec, 
Mexico. However, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is 
currently disorganized. Environmental conditions are forecast to be 
conducive for development, and a tropical depression or tropical 
storm is expected to form by late this weekend or early next week 
while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at about 15 
mph south of the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Latto