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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Oct 7 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A low pressure area located about 100 miles off the coast of South 
Carolina continues to produce disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms to the east of its center of circulation.  Although 
upper-level winds are expected to be strong during the next few 
days, some tropical or subtropical development will be possible 
through the weekend before the low interacts with a frontal boundary 
located to its north.  The low is forecast to move slowly 
east-northeastward at about 5 mph, and it could bring gusty winds 
and locally heavy rain to eastern portions of the Carolinas through 
the weekend, regardless of development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Berg