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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Sep 14 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Nicholas, located over the upper Texas coastal plain near 
Houston.

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure area 
located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde 
Islands continues to show signs of organization. Environmental 
conditions are expected to remain conducive for development, and a  
tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of 
days while system moves generally westward at about 15 mph across 
the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. A trough of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles 
northeast of the southeastern Bahamas is producing a large area 
of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental 
conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development 
during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form 
while the system moves north-northwestward to northward across the 
western Atlantic. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Brown