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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Aug 31 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Kate, located over the central tropical Atlantic.

The Weather Prediction Center is issuing Public Advisories on 
Tropical Depression Ida, located over northeastern Mississippi.

1. A well-defined low pressure system is located over the far eastern 
tropical Atlantic more than 200 miles southwest of the coast of 
Guinea.  Associated shower and thunderstorm activity is beginning 
to show some signs of organization, and environmental conditions 
are conducive for additional development of this system. A tropical 
depression is likely to form during the next day or so while the 
low moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high..90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. A broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the 
southwestern Caribbean Sea in a couple of days.  Environmental 
conditions appear to be somewhat conducive for slow development by 
the end of the week, as long as the system remains over water. This 
system is expected to move gradually west-northwestward or 
northwestward at 5 to 10 mph toward Central America. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Public advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center on 
Tropical Depression Ida can be found under AWIPS header TCPAT4, WMO 
header WTNT34 KWNH, and on the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov

Forecaster Stewart