ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Aug 27 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently 
upgraded Hurricane Ida, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea 
near the Isle of Youth. 

1. An elongated area of low pressure located over the central Atlantic 
several hundred miles east of Bermuda is producing disorganized 
showers and a couple of thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions 
are expected to be marginally conducive for development, however, a 
tropical depression could still form over the weekend.  The system 
is expected to drift eastward through tonight and Saturday, then 
accelerate northeastward Sunday toward the central north Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

2. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located 
about midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles 
have become a little better organized today.  Additional 
development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression 
is likely to form later tonight or Saturday before it moves into an 
environment of stronger upper-level winds and slightly cooler 
waters.  The disturbance is forecast to move west-northwestward 
through tonight, then turn northward Saturday. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

3. Another tropical wave is expected to emerge off of the west African 
coast by the middle of next week.  Afterwards, environmental 
conditions appear marginally conducive for gradual development 
toward the end of next week as the system moves west-northwestward 
to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Roberts