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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Aug 13 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Fred, located near the north-central coast of Cuba.

1. Showers and thunderstorms have become a little better organized 
since yesterday near an area of low pressure located about 850 
miles east of the Lesser Antilles.  Environmental conditions are 
becoming more conducive for additional development, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form over the next day or two while moving 
toward the west or west-northwest at about 20 mph.  This system is 
expected to reach portions of the Leeward Islands Saturday night 
and then the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico Sunday and Sunday night. 
Tropical storm watches or warnings could be required later today or 
tonight for portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and 
Puerto Rico, since strong winds and heavy rainfall are likely to 
spread across those areas over the weekend, regardless of the 
system's development.  Interests in these areas should continue to 
monitor the progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Berg