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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Aug 12 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Fred, located about 240 miles southeast of southern 
Andros Island, Bahamas.

1. A small low pressure system located about 1100 miles east of the 
Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm 
activity primarily west of the center.  However, environmental 
conditions are expected to gradually become more conducive for 
additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form 
by the weekend. The system is forecast to move generally westward at 
about 20 mph across the tropical Atlantic, reaching portions of the 
Leeward Islands late Saturday or early Sunday, and interests there 
should monitor its progress.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Stewart/Papin