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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Aug 8 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low 
pressure located about a hundred miles southwest of the 
southwesternmost Cabo Verde Islands have diminished.  Strong 
upper-level winds and cooler waters are expected to prevent 
significant development of this system while it moves toward the 
west or west-northwest at about 10 mph during the next few days.  
Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds 
still are possible over portions of the westernmost Cabo Verde 
Islands through Sunday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

2. An area of low pressure located over the tropical Atlantic about a 
thousand miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce 
shower and thunderstorm activity to the southwest of its center.  
Environmental conditions are expected to become a little more 
favorable for gradual development over the next several days, and 
this system could become a tropical depression by the middle of this 
week.  The system is forecast to move slowly toward the 
west-southwest or west during the next couple of days, and then move 
a little faster toward the west-northwest by mid-week. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

3. An area of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms over the tropical Atlantic several hundred miles east 
of the Windward Islands.  Some gradual development of this system is 
possible while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, reaching 
portions of the Lesser Antilles late Monday and then moving across 
the eastern Caribbean Sea and Greater Antilles through the middle of 
this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Pasch




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