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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Jul 26 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A small but well-defined area of low pressure located about 800 
miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California 
peninsula continues to produce a small area of shower and 
thunderstorm activity near its center. Environmental conditions 
appear marginally conducive for some gradual development of this 
system over the next several days as it moves westward at around 10 
mph.   
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is forecast to develop in a few days several 
hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for some gradual development thereafter, 
and a tropical depression could form late this week or over the 
weekend while the system moves west-northwestward at around 15 mph, 
staying several hundred miles offshore of the coast of southern 
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Papin/Brown