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Tropical Weather Outlook Text


Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Jun 28 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A small low pressure system is located about 300 miles 
east-southeast of Savannah, Georgia.  The associated shower and 
thunderstorm activity remains disorganized, with most of it 
displaced to the northwest of the surface center due to strong 
upper-level winds.  The low is forecast to move quickly 
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, crossing over the warmer waters 
of the Gulf Stream later this morning, and it has some potential to 
become a tropical depression or tropical storm before reaching the 
coast of Georgia or southern South Carolina by this evening.  If the 
system becomes more organized today, then tropical storm warnings 
could be required for a portion of the Georgia and South Carolina 
coasts with short notice.  Regardless of development, a few inches 
of rain are possible along the immediate coasts of Georgia and 
southern South Carolina through tonight.  An Air Force Reserve Unit 
reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this 
afternoon, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

2. A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is 
producing a small cluster of showers and thunderstorms over the 
eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.  Some slow development is possible 
through the end of the week while this system moves quickly westward 
to west-northwestward at about 20 mph, likely reaching the Lesser 
Antilles late Wednesday or Wednesday night.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Latto/Pasch

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