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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Jun 17 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. An elongated area of low pressure, located a little over a hundred
miles south of the southeastern coast of Mexico, is producing a
large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for development of this
disturbance, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the
next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward or
northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, near the coast of southwestern Mexico.
Regardless of development, heavy rains are likely over coastal
sections of the Mexican states of Oaxaca, Guerrero, Michoacan,
Colima, and Jalisco during the next few days, which could cause
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Interests in these
areas should monitor the progress of this system through the
weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
Forecaster Roberts