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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Wed Nov 18 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Iota, located inland over Central America near the 
Honduras/El Salvador border.

1. A broad area of low pressure could form in a day or so over the 
southwestern Caribbean Sea.  Environmental conditions are expected 
to be only marginally conducive for slow development over the next 
several days while the system moves slowly west-southwestward or 
westward across the southwestern Caribbean Sea.  Regardless of 
tropical cyclone formation, areas of heavy rain are possible during 
the next several days from Nicaragua southward across Central 
America and into Colombia.  These rains could cause new flooding 
concerns, especially across previously inundated areas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

2. A non-tropical area of low pressure could form between the Bahamas 
and Bermuda by early next week. The system could gradually develop 
subtropical characteristics through the middle of next week while it 
moves northeastward. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Stewart




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