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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A weak area of low pressure near the Lesser Antilles continues to 
produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, 
well to the east of its center.  Strong upper-level winds are 
expected to continue to inhibit development while the system moves 
west-northwestward over the next couple of days.  Regardless of 
development, the system could produce locally heavy rainfall across 
portions of the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto 
Rico over the next few days. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

2. A broad non-tropical low pressure system is expected to form over 
the weekend several hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda. Some 
slow development will be possible thereafter into early next week 
while the system moves southwestward and then westward, passing 
about midway between Bermuda and the northern Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

3. A broad area of low pressure could form by early next week over 
the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Some gradual development of the 
system will be possible thereafter while it moves slowly 
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Brown