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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Sep 21 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Beta, located over the far western Gulf of Mexico near the 
Texas coast, and on Hurricane Teddy, located a couple of hundred 
miles east-northeast of Bermuda.

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with Post-Tropical Cyclone 
Paulette located about 250 miles south of the easternmost Azores 
are showing some signs of organization.  Only a slight increase in 
organization could result in the formation of a subtropical or 
tropical cyclone tonight or early Tuesday while the system 
moves eastward at 10 to 15 mph.  By late Tuesday or Tuesday 
night, the system is forecast to move into less favorable 
environmental conditions, and further development is not expected. 
For more information about marine hazards associated with this 
system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. An area of showers and thunderstorms located over the Central 
Bahamas, the Florida Keys and the Straits of Florida is associated 
with a frontal system.  This disturbance is forecast to continue 
moving southward over central and western Cuba during the next 
couple of days, and then move back northward on Thursday through 
Saturday.  Marginally conducive environmental conditions are 
expected when the system approaches the Florida Keys and South 
Florida late this week, and development, if any, should be slow to 
occur.  Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is 
possible across the Florida Keys tonight, and over western Cuba 
on Tuesday and Wednesday. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO 
header FQNT50 LFPW and are available on the web at 
www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ 
metarea2

Forecaster Brown