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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Sep 21 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Beta, located over the far western Gulf of Mexico near the 
Texas coast, and on Hurricane Teddy, located more than 100 miles 
east of Bermuda.

1. Post-Tropical Cyclone Paulette is located over the far eastern 
Atlantic Ocean about 350 miles south of the Azores.  Shower and 
thunderstorms have increased and become better organized today, and 
the low could become a subtropical or tropical cyclone later today 
or tonight while the system moves eastward at 10 to 15 mph. For 
more information about marine hazards associated with this system, 
see High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. A concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms located over 
southeastern Florida, the central Bahamas, and the Straits of 
Florida is associated with a frontal system. This disturbance is 
forecast to continue moving southward over central and western Cuba 
during the next couple of days, and then move back northward on 
Thursday through Saturday. Upper-level winds are expected to become 
marginally conducive for development by Thursday and Friday when the 
system is forecast to approach the Florida Keys and South Florida.  
Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall can be expected 
across portions of extreme southeastern Florida and the Florida Keys 
this afternoon and tonight, and over western Cuba on Tuesday and 
Wednesday. For more information on this disturbance, see forecast 
products issued by your national meteorological service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO 
header FQNT50 LFPW and are available on the web at 
www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ 
metarea2

Forecaster Stewart/Beven