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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Aug 12 2020
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Elida, located several hundred miles southwest of Punta
Eugenia, Mexico.
1. Satellite imagery indicates that the area of low pressure located
about 1300 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula continues to become better defined. The
associated shower and thunderstorm activity is also showing
some signs of organization. Conditions are expected to remain
conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is
likely to form tonight or Thursday while the system moves slowly
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
2. A large area of disturbed weather associated with a trough of low
pressure extends several hundred miles southwest of the
southwestern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear
conducive for development, and a tropical depression is
expected to form within the next few days before the system
reaches cooler waters later this weekend. This system is
forecast to move west-northwestward at about 15 mph away from
the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
3. Another area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days over
the far eastern portion of the basin to the south of the coast of
Central America. Conditions are expected to be conducive for
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form this
weekend or early next week while it moves generally
west-northwestward just offshore the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
Forecaster Brown