ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2020
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Shower activity associated with a low pressure area located about
750 miles east of the Windward Islands is gradually increasing
in organization. However, recent satellite-derived wind data
indicate that the circulation remains broad and elongated, and the
low does not yet have a well-defined center of circulation.
Environmental conditions are expected to become somewhat more
conducive for development, and a tropical depression or tropical
storm is likely to form during the next couple of days while the
system moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph and approaches the
Leeward Islands. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and
gusty winds are likely across portions of the Leeward Islands on
Wednesday and will spread westward to the Virgin Islands and Puerto
Rico Wednesday night and Thursday. Interests on these islands
should continue to monitor the progress of this system, and
tropical storm watches or warnings could be required for portions
of the area later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.