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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Jun 23 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Showers and thunderstorms have increased during the past several 
hours in association with a small area of low pressure located 
about 1700 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja 
California peninsula.  Environmental conditions are expected to 
support further thunderstorm activity, and the low is likely to 
become a tropical depression during the next couple of days while 
it moves slowly toward the west or west-northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

2. An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles 
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula 
continues to produce a wide area of disorganized showers and a few 
thunderstorms.  Some development of this system is possible during 
the next day or two while the system moves westward at about 15 mph 
before it moves over cooler waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

3. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles 
south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec are associated with a 
tropical wave.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be 
conducive for development, and the system is likely to become a 
tropical depression in a few days while it moves west-northwestward 
parallel to the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

4. Another area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the Gulf 
of Tehuantepec by late this week. Gradual development of this system 
will be possible over the weekend as it moves west-northwestward 
parallel to the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Blake