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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jun 1 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Satellite imagery and radar observations from Mexico show that 
the area of disturbed weather centered near the west coast of the 
Yucatan peninsula is gradually becoming better organized.  The 
disturbance will move west-northwestward over the Bay of Campeche 
later this afternoon where environmental conditions are expected 
to be conducive to support development, and a tropical depression 
or storm is likely to form tonight or Tuesday.  The system is then 
forecast to drift westward or west-southwestward over the southern 
Bay of Campeche through the middle of the week.  Interests 
along the coast of the Bay of Campeche should monitor the progress 
of this disturbance as tropical storm watches or warnings could be 
required for a portion of this area later today or tonight. 
Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, heavy rainfall is likely 
to continue over portions of southern Mexico, Guatemala, El 
Salvador, Belize, and western Honduras during the next few days. 
For additional information on the rainfall threat, see products 
from your national meteorological service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Brown

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