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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Oct 13 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. An area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula remains broad
and elongated without a well-defined center, according to recent
satellite-derived wind data.  Upper-level winds are increasing over
this system, and the chances for significant development continue
to decrease as the low moves slowly north-northeastward.
Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce heavy
rainfall across portions of Baja California Sur, southern Sonora,
and northern Sinaloa through Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

2. A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles west of
the coasts of Nicaragua and Costa Rica is producing disorganized
showers and thunderstorms.  Gradual development is expected over the
next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form later
this week while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph
near or just offshore the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Berg