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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Sep 14 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Humberto, centered just northeast of the northwestern
Bahamas.

1. An elongated area of disturbed weather is located over the central
tropical Atlantic. This disturbance is currently disorganized and
only slow development, if any, is anticipated during the next day or
two. Conditions are then forecast to be conducive for gradual
development through the middle of next week and a tropical
depression could form while the system moves slowly westward or
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

2. A large area of cloudiness and showers over the eastern and central
Gulf of Mexico is associated with an upper-level low and a weak
surface trough. Some slow development of this system is possible
during the next couple of days while it moves westward over the
western Gulf of Mexico. The system is forecast to move inland
along the northwestern Gulf coast by late Monday or Tuesday and
further development is not expected after that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Zelinsky