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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Aug 11 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southwest of
Manzanillo, Mexico is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Some development of this system is possible over the
next day or so as it moves west-northwestward, away from the coast
of Mexico. Thereafter, conditions are expected to become unfavorable
for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

2. Showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula
are associated with a trough of low pressure. Development of this
system is no longer expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...0 percent.

3. A disturbance located little a less than 1000 miles south-southwest
of the Baja California peninsula is producing a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
are expected to become more conducive for tropical cyclone formation
by the middle of the week as the system moves west-northwestward at
10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Latto/Pasch