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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Jul 17 2019
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south of Acapulco is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions are forecast to become more conducive for gradual
development late this week, and a tropical depression could form
over the weekend or early next week. This disturbance is forecast to
move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, well south of
the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
2. A small low pressure area has formed within a larger area of
disturbed weather centered about 1200 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Upper-level winds
appear to be conducive for further development, and a tropical
depression could form during the next two or three days while the
disturbance moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 10 to 15
mph. After that time, cool water temperatures are expected to
prevent development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
Forecaster Blake