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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Sun Nov 11 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms extending from near
the Lesser Antilles northeastward over the tropical Atlantic for
several hundred miles is associated with a westward-moving tropical
wave and an upper-level trough of low pressure.  Showers and
thunderstorms associated with this disturbance have increased today,
and environmental conditions are expected to gradually become more
conducive for the development of a tropical or subtropical cyclone
by the middle of the week.  The system is forecast to move westward
to west-northwestward for the next few days, passing near or north
of the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the
southeastern Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Brown