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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Oct 6 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Leslie, located over the central Atlantic Ocean.

1. Satellite data, surface observations, and radar data from Belize
indicate that an area of low pressure is centered over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea east of northern Belize.  The associated
showers and thunderstorms show signs of organization and the wind
circulation is gradually becoming better defined.  Environmental
conditions are expected to become more conducive for further
development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected
to form over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or the southern Gulf of
Mexico on Sunday or Monday while the system moves slowly northward.
Interests in the Yucatan peninsula, western Cuba, and the northern
coast of the Gulf of Mexico should monitor the progress of this
system during the next several days.  Regardless of tropical cyclone
formation, this disturbance will continue to bring torrential rains
to portions of Central America, the Yucatan peninsula, and western
Cuba into next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Beven