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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Jul 23 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A westward-moving area of disorganized thunderstorms is associated
with a small low pressure system located more than 1500 miles
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.
Although satellite-derived winds indicate that this disturbance
is producing gale-force wind gusts in some of the stronger squalls
to the south of the center, tropical cyclone development is unlikely
before the system reaches the Central Pacific in a couple of days
due to unfavorable upper-level winds.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

2. A weak low pressure system is located several hundred miles
southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Associated shower activity
is currently disorganized, and development, if any, should be slow
to occur during the next few days while the system moves toward
the west or west-northwest well south of the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Stewart




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