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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Jul 2 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending
from the north-central Gulf of Mexico across the western Florida
panhandle is associated with a broad and weak area of low pressure.
Interaction with land, along with proximity to dry air in the
mid-levels of the atmosphere, should prevent tropical cyclone
formation while the disturbance moves westward and inland over
southeastern Louisiana tonight through Tuesday. However, locally
heavy rainfall along portions of the northern Gulf Coast will be
possible during the next couple of days. Additional information on
this system can be found in products issued by your local National
Weather Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

2. A westward-moving, broad area of low pressure located several
hundred miles east of Florida is producing minimal shower activity.
Little or no development of this low is expected for the next few
days due to unfavorable upper-level winds and dry mid-level air.
However, another non-tropical low pressure system is expected to
form about midway between Bermuda and the southeastern United States
by the end of the week. That system could gradually acquire some
tropical characteristics over the weekend while it moves slowly
northward or northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Stewart




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