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Tropical Weather Outlook Text


Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Jun 12 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the
western Caribbean Sea is associated with a trough of low pressure.
This area of disturbed weather is expected to move westward to
northwestward over Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula during
the next couple of days, and little development is expected during
that time due to unfavorable upper-level winds.  Environmental
conditions could become slightly more conducive for some development
when the system moves into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by the
end of the week.  Regardless of development, this disturbance will
likely produce locally heavy rainfall across portions of Nicaragua,
Honduras, Belize, Guatemala, and the Yucatan Peninsula through
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Stewart

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